Archive | March, 2021

How did Sasikala come under control?

Posted on 31 March 2021 by admin

RSS’s strategist S. Gurumurthy has started giving face to the saffron aspirations in Tamil Nadu and perhaps his biggest success is to inspire Amma’s friend Sasikala to retire from politics. If sources are to be believed, first Gurumurthy wanted Sasikala’s nephew Dinakaran to merge his party with AIADMK and Sasikala would also return home, but neither Panneerselvam nor Palaniswami agreed. Sasikala belongs to the Thevar caste, the vote share of this caste in Tamil Nadu is around 10 percent. The DMK and AIDMK are eyeing this vote bank, as thevar votes are decisive in 38 assembly seats in the state. The news of Sasikala’s retirement was also shocking that some 10 days ago, Sasikala and TTV Dinakaran had spoken of reopening the 2017 petition in which both Palaniswami and Panneerselvam were to be surrounded by the AIADMK leadership’s decision. The BJP also felt that if Sasikala continued to promote Dinakaran’s party, it could have an impact on 60-70 seats. In the last 10 years, the total assets of Dinakaran have increased from 3.48 crores to 11.19 crores. Sasikala’s assets worth more than Rs 200 crore are already being investigated by ED and Income Tax Department. Among the Benami properties, Sasikala, her sister-in-law Jay Ilavarasi, and nephew VN Sudhakaran also have a separate case of assets worth more than Rs 2000 crore. So, through Sasikala, the BJP has placed a big bet. If the Thevar votes fall in the AIADMK’s court, then the BJP has an impact on its Brahmin and forward votes. On the other hand, DMK has to leave seats for Congress, Left, PMK, and many other smaller parties. The impact of PMK is on the Vaniyar caste. and the BJP has understood this ethnic arithmetic in a short time.

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PM could go to Ganguly’s home

Posted on 31 March 2021 by admin

Today is the rally of Prime Minister Narendra Modi on the famous brigade ground in Kolkata and to make this rally a success, the BJP has put a lot of vigor on the forefront. The saffron army, which specializes in creating political news, has created an atmosphere hoping that Bengal’s ‘Dada’ would come to the rally. Since Saurabh is also the chairman of the Board of Control for Cricket in India (BCCI), due to this, Saurabh’s dialogue with Home Minister Amit Shah was very much connected. In addition to the ‘political game’, Shah is equally interested in the game of cricket. But left-wing Ganguly is still shying away from joining the saffron camp, citing his recent ‘angioplasty’. Sources even claim that if Dada had trouble coming to the PM’s stage, then the PM himself can also go to his house to enquire about Dada’s well-being. This will be a ‘picture perfect’ opportunity for the media and if even after that Saurabh does not enter active politics, BJP can run an ‘emotional card’ in the name of Saurabh that ‘If the people of the state elect for BJP, then Saurabh will become the Chief Minister. In this, ‘Dilip Ghosh and Shubhendu Adhikari may be appointed as two deputy chief ministers of the state to teach Saurabh a political career. The BJP’s vote share was 40 percent in the 2019 Lok Sabha elections in West Bengal, compared to 43 percent of the TMC, but these votes were meant for reelecting Modi as the PM of the country. As the BJP received merely 10 percent votes in the 2016 assembly elections, so to reduce Didi’s lead, stars like Mithun Chakraborty and Prasenjit may also join BJP in the PM’s March 7 rally. Mamata had brought Mithun to the Rajya Sabha, but due to his name floating in the Saradha scam, Mithun had to resign from his Rajya Sabha membership. In recent days, Mithun has traveled to Nagpur where he met RSS’s Sarsanghchalak Mohan Bhagwat and when asked what happened between him and Bhagwat, Mithun had said – “We spoke on spiritual aspects” In today’s rally of PM Modi, it will now become clear whether Mithun Chakraborty has got the right address this time.

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Mamta caught in Modi’s web

Posted on 31 March 2021 by admin

If you remember, just three or four days ago, in his Bengal rally, PM threw a new jibe that ‘last time the election of Bengal was announced on 3 March, it seems that the election notification will be issued on 7 March this time. This raises the question as to if a veteran leader like Modi was unaware that a notification for the assembly elections could be issued some 10 days before he anticipated or did he shrewdly run his political stance, and in this stunt, rivals like Mamata were caught. If sources are to be believed, West Bengal Chief Minister Mamata Banerjee had a long list of lukewarm announcements and with the PM’s speech, Didi’s people made the wrong assumption that they had 10 more days left to make announcements. But as soon as the press conference of the Election Commission convened on Friday, Mamata’s strategists were left dumbstruck as the Election Commission did not give them a chance to think anything. The announcement of voting in 8 phases in Bengal is a declaration of the rigid plans of the central government. That is, phase-by-phase elections in Bengal will be held under the vigilant eyes of the central teams, i.e. there is complete preparation to put brakes on the unbridled plans of the Trinamool cadre. As it is, the BJP has made the Bengal election its prestige issue and if sources are to be believed, the Center can notify the rules of the Citizenship Amendment Act at any time after the end of the Assam elections, i.e. after April 6 and sources reveal that for the remaining 5 stages of West Bengal ‘CAA’ can be a big issue. Even in Assam, the BJP is confident that it can form a government again because the opposition is quite scattered there. After the agreement between Congress and Badruddin Ajmal in AIUDF, the BJP is confident that there can be large-scale polarization of votes and Hindu votes can fall in BJP’s kitty here. At the same time, Congress also has no charismatic leader like Tarun Gogoi, his son Gaurav Gogoi is very young and he lacks experience. Apart from this, with all the parties like Bodo People’s Front, Asgaman Parishad, AASU being in the fray, there is a danger of opposition votes being split, BJP can take advantage of this situation.

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Can Congress be broken?

Posted on 31 March 2021 by admin

In Jharkhand, every possible exercise is being done to split the Congress which has 16 MLAs in the state, out of which 4 are ministers in the Hemant Soren government. The opposition is now eyeing the remaining 12 people. But out of these 12, there are at least 5 Congress MLAs who are not going to leave the Congress. One of these MLAs has won with the support of Christian missionaries who cannot afford to go to BJP or leave Congress. Another legislator, Sonaram, has won due to the kindness of Madhu Koda’s wife who is an MP, so there is no question of his departure. Anoop, an MLA, is the son of former minister Rajendra Singh, and breaking him will not be easy. The most important thing is that if the 7 people of the Congress also form a separate faction, then Assembly Speaker Rabindra Nath Mahato who belongs to the JMM quota will not recognize this separate faction and the speaker can go to the extent of canceling the assembly membership of these MLAs, even if the case goes to court later. So for now, the Hemant Soren government does not see any danger in Jharkhand.

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Which way will the farmer movement go?

Posted on 31 March 2021 by admin

Ever since the notification for the assembly elections of 5 states has been issued, all the attention of the BJP led central government has shifted to these states. The results of these elections are to come on May 2, which means that the focus of the central government strategists has shifted. Anyway, for the last one month, the central government has not taken any initiative to negotiate with the farmers, so how to have a dialogue now? The harvesting season is on the head, so most of the farmers have started worrying about harvesting their crops. The movement which was earlier under the patronage of different farmer organizations of Punjab and Haryana is now dominated by the Tikait brothers, who talk of Parliament march sometimes, and sometimes of campaigning against BJP in West Bengal elections. At the same time, most of the farmers are of the opinion that they have nothing to do with any political stream, they are concerned only with farming. At the same time, some farmers feel that it is just a BJP game to get their movement captured in the borders of Punjab and Haryana. But the number of people who give moral and emotional support to the movement is constantly increasing. Therefore, the central government, sensing the urgency of the matter, can now send Rajnath Singh for talks with the farmers.

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…And finally

Posted on 31 March 2021 by admin

Even though Union Petroleum Minister Dharmendra Pradhan is talking of bringing petrol and diesel under the purview of GST to bring down the skyrocketing prices of petrochemicals and is looking forward to sending the matter to the GST Council, but this matter is not so easy. If petrol and diesel really fall under the purview of GST, then its price maybe half. The government gets imported petrol around Rs 30 per liter, if it adds Rs 5 dealer commission and handling charge, then it will be Rs 35, if a maximum of 28 percent GST is levied on it, then it will add Rs 9.80. Even if 50 percent center CESS is imposed on it amounting to 4.90 rupees, then the cost of petrol will be less than Rs. 50. But there are other plans of the central government, the government has set a target of tax collection of Rs 3.60 lakh crore from petrol-diesel only in its latest budget, in which case the possibility of lowering the price of petrol-diesel seems false.

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